Mann

Three statisticians go hunting for rabbit. They see a rabbit. The first statistician fires and misses, her bullet striking the ground below the beast. The second statistician fires and misses, their bullet striking a branch above the lagomorph. The third statistician, a lazy frequentist, says, "We got it!" OK, that joke was not 1/5th as funny as any of XKCD's excellent jabs at the frequentist-bayesian debate, but hopefully this will warm you up for a somewhat technical discussion on how to decide if observations about the weather are at all explainable with reference to climate change. […
In not-very-exciting news just in National Science Foundation vindicates Michael Mann. Or you can read Romm's version. [Well, who would have guessed it? This non-news really riles the denialists and the trolls. To be open, I knew it was troll-bait but couldn't resist. And perhaps it is useful to see just how badly broken the septic talking points are. Can you believe that people are saying "We all know that the Earth's temperature has been increasing steadily since the last ice age (this is obvious..."? But apparently this is the level of disinformation that people are so confident of, they…
The wheels continue to fall off the Wegman Report. "It kind of undermines the credibility of your work criticizing others' integrity when you don't conform to the basic rules of scholarship," Virginia Tech plagiarism expert Skip Garner says. Further down: Allegations under review "The matter is under investigation," says GMU spokesman Dan Walsch by e-mail. In a phone interview, Wegman said he could not comment at the university's request. In an earlier e-mail Wegman sent to Joseph Kunc of the University of Southern California, however, he called the plagiarism charges "wild conclusions that…
November 17 marked the one year anniversary of the hacking of CRU mail servers and the release of thousands of emails between climate scientists. Though irrelevant to the scientific case for anthropogenic climate change, the event was significant in the public relations sphere. I have not found the time to do a proper memorial write up though I think it is important to reassess and reframe the controversy with the benefit of hindsight. But as luck would have it, a young climate blogger named Kate at Climate Sight has written a piece as well laid out and written as I could ever have hoped to…
There is an interesting new post up at KlimaZweibel about a paper by Smerdon et al.. This is going to be all over everywhere very soon, so I may as well jump in. The title, of course, is a snark at RC; see the article A Mistake with Repercussions which points out some errors in a Zorita and Von Storch paper (they got their model setup wrong). [I've just snarked them in their comments; it will be intersting to see if it stays] In this case the problem is rather more arcane, but worth explaining, so let me do that first. [Update: no, let me first point out that there is a response by Rutherford…
RC has said this already, but perhaps you want to talk about it here. Not great surprise I think; see the press release or the final report. The Investigatory Committee, after careful review of all available evidence, determined that there is no substance to the allegation against Dr. Michael E. Mann, Professor, Department of Meteorology, The Pennsylvania State University. More specifically, the Investigatory Committee determined that Dr. Michael E. Mann did not engage in, nor did he participate in, directly or indirectly, any actions that seriously deviated from accepted practices within the…
This really must be read to be believed. IANAL, but surely this is over the top, to use the legal jargon. It is a clearly an impossible demand. Untitled Anyone have a link to an unembedded document? [UPDATE: never mind, it is here[PDF]]
I always marvel at the scientist-government conspiracy theories the more wacky members of the climate denial machine toss around so confidently. How do they fit this into their world view? In papers sent to UVA April 23, Cuccinelli's office commands the university to produce a sweeping swath of documents relating to Mann's receipt of nearly half a million dollars in state grant-funded climate research conducted while Mann-- now director of the Earth System Science Center at Penn State-- was at UVA between 1999 and 2005. ... Among the documents Cuccinelli demands are any and all emailed or…
Penn State has released the preliminary conclusions of its inquiry into the purloined e-mails from the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia. Dr Free-Ride provides an excellent discussion PSU story on the internal inquiry Full report (pdf) In the meantime, the Grauniad reports police questioned a UEA scientist about the original cracking of the CRU e-mail archive There has been considerable external pressure on PSU on this issue, with protests planned by conservative student groups this friday on campus, weather prermitting... The Commonwealth Foundation for Public Policy…