Hello, everyone. My name is Norman Doering. I'm your weather watcher for the week while Chris Mooney is away. You haven't heard from me until now because there haven't been any new hurricanes this week.
However, earlier today I was checking in on the weather sites that I promised to Chris Mooney that I would watch, there were no hurricanes anywhere on the planet -- but there was a tropical depression in the Pacific, off the coast of Acapulco, Mexico. It looked like this:
I checked back just recently, and it's now looking like a real storm:
I will check back later today to see what has developed and update this post.
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TD-1E is surrounded by high shear . That kind of environment will usually cause a TD to weaken or dissipate as soon as it strays out of the very narrow region of low shear it is presently in. TD-1E is over warm , deep water right now, but it is headed toward cooler waters.
It is unlikely to approach hurricane strength.
I think you're right, llewelly. It's already beginning to weaken and dissipate.
There is a remote possibility that 1-E might yet evolve, by Monday, into a real tropical storm and if that happens it would be named "Alvin." However, 1-E has a small, relatively weak circulation and the thunderstorms around it have waned. Still, the shear is not prohibitive so 1-E has the potential to rebuild its convection and strengthen but the odds are very much against it now.
Hi Norm,
Thanks for keeping an eye on this one. This storm is now Alvin and the NHC is issuing advisories on it, but it seems very unlikely to become a hurricane. But it's early, early, early in the northern hemisphere hurricane season....